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Red113
105134.1
636633.8
453332.7
Blue125
34359.4
1036714.7
857543.4
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9814750200113125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
Teleop+20
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +5
9Leave6
4Coral scored#5
18Coral points26
27Total auto32
TeleoperatedBlue +15
11Coral scored#15
40Coral points53
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
6Processor points12
16Net points12
22Algae points24
62Total teleop77
Reef
6L4#7
5L3#8
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#25
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
113Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.11.5
29.430.9
Auto9.6
Teleop17.6
End6.9
blue by 25.3
343
#3
59.40.2
57.157.4
Auto12.5
Teleop38.8
End8.1
Second
33.81.5
31.432.9
Auto4.9
Teleop20.6
End8.4
blue by 9.6
8575
#13
43.40.2
45.846.0
Auto8.6
Teleop32.6
End2.1
Third
4533
#14
32.71.5
29.831.3
Auto4.8
Teleop22.2
End5.7
red by 18.0
14.70.2
18.919.1
Auto7.0
Teleop6.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned44%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned