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Red67
1038810.3
513034.9
1061917.6
Blue127
636633.8
281549.4
131928.7
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6112905010015020067127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+32
Endgame+54
Fouls+60
AutonomousBlue +13
9Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
9Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +19
11Coral scored#16
38Coral points59
0Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
0Processor points6
16Net points8
16Algae points14
54Total teleop73
Reef
5L4#7
2L3#4
1L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +60
0Foul points6
67Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5130
#15
34.90.4
34.434.8
Auto4.6
Teleop28.9
End1.4
blue by 14.4
49.40.7
49.049.7
Auto12.4
Teleop28.9
End8.1
Second
17.60.4
17.317.6
Auto3.7
Teleop10.7
End3.3
blue by 16.2
33.80.7
32.933.6
Auto4.9
Teleop20.6
End8.4
Third
10.30.4
9.910.3
Auto3.7
Teleop5.3
End1.3
blue by 18.4
1319
#11
28.70.7
28.429.1
Auto7.9
Teleop16.5
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsMissed95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed35%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed87%Barge oddsEarned