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Red121
34359.4
1059114.4
105134.1
Blue95
857543.4
708514.7
957125.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119855010015020012195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
+16Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousBlue +2
9Leave9
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points15
22Total auto24
TeleoperatedRed +18
14Coral scored#10
49Coral points35
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
18Processor points18
16Net points12
34Algae points30
83Total teleop65
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#4
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points0
121Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#3
59.40.3
57.658.0
Auto12.5
Teleop38.8
End8.1
red by 16.0
8575
#13
43.40.1
43.443.5
Auto8.6
Teleop32.6
End2.1
Second
34.10.3
33.633.9
Auto9.6
Teleop17.6
End6.9
red by 8.5
9571
#21
25.50.1
24.724.8
Auto6.4
Teleop17.8
End1.4
Third
14.40.3
13.513.8
Auto4.7
Teleop9.2
End0.6
blue by 0.3
7085
#24
14.70.1
14.514.6
Auto3.5
Teleop8.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
38%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed