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Red161
110250.9
175824.2
349051.3
Blue182
616737.2
445170.3
486432.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141162100150200161182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+16
Teleop+21
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +16
9Leave3
3Coral scored#7
14Coral points36
23Total auto39
TeleoperatedBlue +5
24Coral scored#24
88Coral points87
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#6
12Processor points18
24Net points24
36Algae points42
124Total teleop129
Reef
8L4#11
10L3#8
4L2#7
5L1 · trough#5
35Game pieces#40
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points0
161Total score182

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.30.9
50.651.6
Auto7.3
Teleop35.9
End8.2
blue by 19.0
70.31.4
67.568.9
Auto15.5
Teleop53.0
End1.8
Second
50.90.9
49.350.3
Auto14.8
Teleop34.9
End1.2
red by 13.7
37.21.4
35.136.4
Auto5.6
Teleop22.3
End9.4
Third
1758
#17
24.20.9
23.724.6
Auto1.9
Teleop21.2
End1.1
blue by 8.5
4864
#12
32.71.4
31.733.1
Auto8.8
Teleop17.8
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
37%Coral oddsEarned22%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned