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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120630501001502009136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+65Teleop
+63Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave6
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points6
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +54
10Coral scored#3
36Coral points10
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#0
12Processor points0
16Net points0
28Algae points0
64Total teleop10
Reef
4L4#2
4L3#1
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#0
19Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
0Foul points8
91Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.30.9
57.256.3
Auto15.5
Teleop53.0
End1.8
red by 35.3
5130
#15
34.92.3
27.525.2
Auto4.6
Teleop28.9
End1.4
Second
51.30.9
36.735.8
Auto7.3
Teleop35.9
End8.2
red by 25.8
9571
#21
25.52.3
21.419.1
Auto6.4
Teleop17.8
End1.4
Third
10.30.9
10.59.6
Auto3.7
Teleop5.3
End1.3
blue by 8.2
18.52.3
13.511.2
Auto4.6
Teleop12.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsMissed6%Barge oddsMissed