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Red108
931511.8
34248.0
128752.5
Blue114
131928.7
110250.9
34359.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10911190100120130140108114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+6
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave6
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points16
23Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +7
12Coral scored#16
43Coral points56
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
71Total teleop78
Reef
7L4#8
5L3#4
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
108Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1287
#19
52.50.6
48.148.7
Auto11.4
Teleop38.9
End2.1
blue by 6.9
343
#3
59.41.1
47.148.1
Auto12.5
Teleop38.8
End8.1
Second
342
#7
48.00.6
40.941.5
Auto4.3
Teleop40.5
End3.1
blue by 2.9
50.91.1
31.332.4
Auto14.8
Teleop34.9
End1.2
Third
9315
#28
11.80.6
9.910.5
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End1.8
blue by 16.8
1319
#11
28.71.1
19.320.4
Auto7.9
Teleop16.5
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsEarned