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Red41
453332.7
1061917.6
1036714.7
Blue29
813717.9
1059114.4
1059916.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions673802060801001201404129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+12Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +9
5Coral scored#3
17Coral points12
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
25Total teleop16
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
9Game pieces#5
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
41Total score29

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4533
#14
32.70.9
22.421.5
Auto4.8
Teleop22.2
End5.7
red by 14.8
8137
#26
17.90.5
11.711.2
Auto3.9
Teleop10.3
End3.7
Second
17.60.9
14.413.4
Auto3.7
Teleop10.7
End3.3
red by 0.9
16.70.5
12.712.2
Auto5.0
Teleop9.3
End2.4
Third
14.70.9
18.217.3
Auto7.0
Teleop6.1
End1.6
red by 0.3
14.40.5
12.712.2
Auto4.7
Teleop9.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed