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Red107
348926.0
105134.1
513034.9
Blue117
857543.4
34248.0
813717.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10112120406080140160180107117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
Teleop+26
Endgame+14
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +5
0Leave0
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points21
16Total auto21
TeleoperatedBlue +21
15Coral scored#17
53Coral points60
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
6Processor points12
12Net points20
18Algae points32
71Total teleop92
Reef
7L4#8
5L3#8
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#28
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Penalties & totalBlue +10
6Foul points2
107Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5130
#15
34.90.1
34.934.9
Auto4.6
Teleop28.9
End1.4
blue by 13.1
342
#7
48.00.1
47.447.5
Auto4.3
Teleop40.5
End3.1
Second
34.10.1
34.034.1
Auto9.6
Teleop17.6
End6.9
blue by 9.3
8575
#13
43.40.1
42.842.9
Auto8.6
Teleop32.6
End2.1
Third
3489
#18
26.00.1
25.926.0
Auto4.7
Teleop19.2
End2.0
red by 8.1
8137
#26
17.90.1
17.317.4
Auto3.9
Teleop10.3
End3.7