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Red164
1023118.5
34359.4
445170.3
Blue119
110250.9
1059114.4
128752.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions165122100150200250164119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+37Teleop
+49Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave6
6Coral scored#3
28Coral points17
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +23
20Coral scored#15
71Coral points54
4Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
24Processor points18
16Net points16
40Algae points34
111Total teleop88
Reef
9L4#6
6L3#6
5L2#4
6L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#25
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +45
2Foul points6
164Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.30.4
69.670.0
Auto15.5
Teleop53.0
End1.8
red by 17.8
1287
#19
52.50.1
52.752.6
Auto11.4
Teleop38.9
End2.1
Second
343
#3
59.40.4
58.759.1
Auto12.5
Teleop38.8
End8.1
red by 8.5
50.90.1
51.151.0
Auto14.8
Teleop34.9
End1.2
Third
18.50.4
17.818.2
Auto4.6
Teleop12.6
End1.2
red by 4.0
14.40.1
14.714.5
Auto4.7
Teleop9.2
End0.6