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Red103
348926.0
105134.1
513034.9
Blue90
486432.7
131928.7
175824.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1039040608012014016010390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+15Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave9
4Coral scored#2
22Coral points9
22Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +11
14Coral scored#9
51Coral points32
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
12Processor points12
4Net points12
16Algae points24
67Total teleop56
Reef
6L4#4
7L3#4
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
103Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5130
#15
34.90.2
34.734.9
Auto4.6
Teleop28.9
End1.4
red by 2.3
4864
#12
32.70.1
32.632.7
Auto8.8
Teleop17.8
End6.1
Second
34.10.2
33.834.0
Auto9.6
Teleop17.6
End6.9
red by 5.4
1319
#11
28.70.1
28.628.7
Auto7.9
Teleop16.5
End4.3
Third
3489
#18
26.00.2
25.725.9
Auto4.7
Teleop19.2
End2.0
red by 1.8
1758
#17
24.20.1
24.124.2
Auto1.9
Teleop21.2
End1.1