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Red104
857543.4
34248.0
813717.9
Blue102
349051.3
281549.4
1036714.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11813350100150200104102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+27
+4Teleop
Endgame+2
+2Fouls
AutonomousBlue +27
6Leave3
0Coral scored#6
0Coral points30
6Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +31
16Coral scored#8
56Coral points29
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
84Total teleop53
Reef
4L4#5
6L3#5
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +6
8Cage & park14
8Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +2
6Foul points2
104Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
342
#7
48.00.2
47.747.4
Auto4.3
Teleop40.5
End3.1
blue by 3.3
51.30.4
51.751.3
Auto7.3
Teleop35.9
End8.2
Second
8575
#13
43.40.2
43.142.8
Auto8.6
Teleop32.6
End2.1
blue by 6.0
49.40.4
49.849.4
Auto12.4
Teleop28.9
End8.1
Third
8137
#26
17.90.2
17.517.3
Auto3.9
Teleop10.3
End3.7
red by 3.2
14.70.4
15.114.7
Auto7.0
Teleop6.1
End1.6