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Red93
348926.0
105134.1
513034.9
Blue164
110250.9
1059114.4
128752.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1001275015020093164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+65
Endgame+57
Fouls+71
AutonomousBlue +20
9Leave0
2Coral scored#8
11Coral points40
20Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +45
12Coral scored#19
43Coral points70
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
6Processor points12
12Net points24
18Algae points36
61Total teleop106
Reef
5L4#12
3L3#7
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#35
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +71
0Foul points14
93Total score164

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5130
#15
34.90.0
34.734.7
Auto4.6
Teleop28.9
End1.4
blue by 17.5
1287
#19
52.50.7
52.052.7
Auto11.4
Teleop38.9
End2.1
Second
34.10.0
33.833.8
Auto9.6
Teleop17.6
End6.9
blue by 16.8
50.90.7
50.451.1
Auto14.8
Teleop34.9
End1.2
Third
3489
#18
26.00.0
25.725.7
Auto4.7
Teleop19.2
End2.0
red by 11.5
14.40.7
14.014.7
Auto4.7
Teleop9.2
End0.6