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Red96
636633.8
708514.7
28144.2
Blue117
857543.4
34248.0
813717.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9812540608014016018020096117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
Teleop+27
Endgame+17
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +5
3Leave0
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points18
13Total auto18
TeleoperatedBlue +22
13Coral scored#18
47Coral points63
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
65Total teleop87
Reef
5L4#8
3L3#6
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#27
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +21
2Foul points6
96Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
#10
44.20.0
44.144.1
Auto8.2
Teleop34.2
End1.8
blue by 3.8
342
#7
48.00.0
48.148.1
Auto4.3
Teleop40.5
End3.1
Second
33.80.0
33.633.6
Auto4.9
Teleop20.6
End8.4
blue by 9.6
8575
#13
43.40.0
43.543.4
Auto8.6
Teleop32.6
End2.1
Third
7085
#24
14.70.0
14.614.6
Auto3.5
Teleop8.7
End2.5
blue by 3.1
8137
#26
17.90.0
18.017.9
Auto3.9
Teleop10.3
End3.7