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Red83
349051.3
281549.4
1036714.7
Blue90
348926.0
105134.1
513034.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13599501502008390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+3Teleop
Endgame+7
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
2Coral scored#4
12Coral points19
12Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +10
10Coral scored#10
35Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
6Processor points6
24Net points12
30Algae points18
65Total teleop55
Reef
3L4#6
4L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points0
83Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.30.7
51.650.8
Auto7.3
Teleop35.9
End8.2
red by 16.3
5130
#15
34.90.1
34.834.7
Auto4.6
Teleop28.9
End1.4
Second
49.40.7
49.748.9
Auto12.4
Teleop28.9
End8.1
red by 15.3
34.10.1
33.933.8
Auto9.6
Teleop17.6
End6.9
Third
14.70.7
15.014.3
Auto7.0
Teleop6.1
End1.6
blue by 11.2
3489
#18
26.00.1
25.825.7
Auto4.7
Teleop19.2
End2.0