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Red100
486432.7
131928.7
175824.2
Blue99
636633.8
708514.7
28144.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions881012040608012014016010099

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+1Teleop
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
9Leave6
2Coral scored#0
12Coral points0
21Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +14
11Coral scored#15
41Coral points55
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
65Total teleop79
Reef
5L4#8
4L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
100Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4864
#12
32.70.4
32.232.6
Auto8.8
Teleop17.8
End6.1
blue by 11.5
281
#10
44.20.1
44.144.2
Auto8.2
Teleop34.2
End1.8
Second
1319
#11
28.70.4
28.228.6
Auto7.9
Teleop16.5
End4.3
blue by 5.1
33.80.1
33.633.8
Auto4.9
Teleop20.6
End8.4
Third
1758
#17
24.20.4
23.724.1
Auto1.9
Teleop21.2
End1.1
red by 9.4
7085
#24
14.70.1
14.614.7
Auto3.5
Teleop8.7
End2.5