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Red178
349051.3
281549.4
1036714.7
Blue157
453332.7
616737.2
957125.5
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14811150100200178157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+13Teleop
+21Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
4Coral scored#4
21Coral points20
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +6
24Coral scored#19
86Coral points70
3Processor algae#4
5Net algae#6
18Processor points24
20Net points24
38Algae points48
124Total teleop118
Reef
11L4#11
8L3#4
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#33
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points0
178Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.30.8
50.851.7
Auto7.3
Teleop35.9
End8.2
red by 14.1
37.20.7
36.537.2
Auto5.6
Teleop22.3
End9.4
Second
49.40.8
48.949.8
Auto12.4
Teleop28.9
End8.1
red by 16.7
4533
#14
32.70.7
32.032.7
Auto4.8
Teleop22.2
End5.7
Third
14.70.8
14.315.1
Auto7.0
Teleop6.1
End1.6
blue by 10.8
9571
#21
25.50.7
24.825.5
Auto6.4
Teleop17.8
End1.4