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Red137
636625.2
445155.5
272440.0
Blue219
949669.1
297462.7
34234.7
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128191050100150250300137219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+64
Endgame+76
Fouls+82
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave3
3Coral scored#7
14Coral points34
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +50
23Coral scored#30
82Coral points108
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#7
12Processor points24
16Net points28
28Algae points52
110Total teleop160
Reef
8L4#15
11L3#11
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#5
32Game pieces#48
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +82
0Foul points6
137Total score219

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.50.3
54.654.8
Auto12.8
Teleop40.4
End2.4
blue by 13.6
69.10.9
68.369.2
Auto17.5
Teleop46.3
End5.3
Second
40.00.3
39.139.3
Auto7.0
Teleop25.1
End7.9
blue by 22.7
62.70.9
61.962.8
Auto18.2
Teleop42.5
End2.0
Third
6366
#11
25.20.3
24.324.5
Auto4.4
Teleop13.4
End7.5
blue by 9.5
342
#15
34.70.9
33.934.8
Auto4.7
Teleop27.0
End3.1