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Red159
636625.2
445155.5
272440.0
Blue172
949669.1
297462.7
34234.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128193050100150250300159172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+29
Teleop+15
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +29
0Leave9
4Coral scored#8
22Coral points42
22Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +14
26Coral scored#24
93Coral points85
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
121Total teleop107
Reef
12L4#10
9L3#11
6L2#7
3L1 · trough#4
36Game pieces#37
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
159Total score172

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.50.7
54.855.5
Auto12.8
Teleop40.4
End2.4
blue by 13.6
69.10.1
69.269.1
Auto17.5
Teleop46.3
End5.3
Second
40.00.7
39.340.0
Auto7.0
Teleop25.1
End7.9
blue by 22.7
62.70.1
62.862.7
Auto18.2
Teleop42.5
End2.0
Third
6366
#11
25.20.7
24.525.2
Auto4.4
Teleop13.4
End7.5
blue by 9.5
342
#15
34.70.1
34.834.7
Auto4.7
Teleop27.0
End3.1