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Red49
81376.2
636625.2
Blue101
949669.1
34234.7
99965.0
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62163010015020025030049101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+48
Endgame+52
Fouls+52
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +38
6Coral scored#15
23Coral points53
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
33Total teleop71
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#6
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
9Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +4
10Cage & park14
10Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
0Foul points0
49Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6366
#11
25.21.6
33.832.2
Auto4.4
Teleop13.4
End7.5
blue by 43.9
69.12.5
77.074.4
Auto17.5
Teleop46.3
End5.3
Second
9.61.6
18.516.9
Auto2.9
Teleop5.2
End1.6
blue by 25.1
342
#15
34.72.5
43.841.3
Auto4.7
Teleop27.0
End3.1
Third
8137
#20
6.21.6
17.916.3
Auto1.8
Teleop1.6
End2.9
red by 1.2
9996
#10
5.04.2
15.211.0
Auto1.3
Teleop2.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed44%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned