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Red34
39760.6
999513.4
122512.5
Blue82
297462.7
34331.3
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291770501001502002503482

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+52
Endgame+46
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +24
0Leave9
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points15
0Total auto24
TeleoperatedBlue +28
4Coral scored#7
16Coral points26
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
0Processor points6
4Net points16
4Algae points22
20Total teleop48
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#15
BargeRed +6
10Cage & park4
10Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
4Foul points6
34Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9995
#27
13.41.5
15.213.6
Auto0.9
Teleop9.7
End2.7
blue by 49.3
62.74.0
66.162.2
Auto18.2
Teleop42.5
End2.0
Second
1225
#17
12.50.9
21.320.4
Auto3.8
Teleop7.6
End1.1
blue by 18.9
343
#13
31.34.0
54.550.5
Auto7.3
Teleop19.1
End4.9
Third
3976
#28
0.60.9
7.36.3
Auto1.0
Teleop-1.3
End0.9
blue by 6.8
7.34.0
14.710.8
Auto4.8
Teleop2.6
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsMissed98%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
1%Coral oddsMissed55%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed68%Barge oddsMissed