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Red35
110237.0
281537.6
873620.2
Blue26
947722.6
350622.9
999910.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143820501002002503526

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+9Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +9
4Coral scored#3
15Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
25Total teleop16
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#5
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
35Total score26

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.66.0
49.443.4
Auto8.6
Teleop20.3
End8.8
red by 14.7
3506
#23
22.94.5
38.834.3
Auto4.4
Teleop12.9
End5.7
Second
1102
#14
37.06.0
50.944.8
Auto9.7
Teleop25.9
End1.4
red by 14.3
9477
#22
22.64.5
39.635.1
Auto3.6
Teleop18.7
End0.5
Third
8736
#18
20.26.0
25.319.3
Auto4.0
Teleop13.9
End2.4
red by 9.6
9999
#25
10.67.5
15.27.7
Auto3.8
Teleop6.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
35%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed