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Red101
999816.8
272440.0
453329.6
Blue73
34899.8
349050.2
857536.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8914205020025030010173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+10Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave3
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points6
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +4
10Coral scored#11
36Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
54Total teleop58
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#16
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points0
101Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.00.1
49.249.0
Auto7.0
Teleop25.1
End7.9
blue by 10.2
50.23.4
51.347.9
Auto5.7
Teleop36.0
End8.6
Second
4533
#16
29.60.1
32.732.5
Auto5.2
Teleop18.4
End6.2
blue by 6.9
36.53.4
49.646.2
Auto6.1
Teleop28.0
End2.4
Third
9998
#12
16.80.2
15.214.9
Auto6.0
Teleop7.6
End3.0
red by 7.0
3489
#26
9.83.4
17.313.9
Auto2.6
Teleop7.5
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed29%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsMissed