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Red62
445155.5
9997-0.0
81376.2
Blue55
28130.6
886623.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100940501506255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+9Teleop
+11Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
1Coral scored#0
4Coral points0
10Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +2
8Coral scored#11
28Coral points38
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
12Processor points0
8Net points8
20Algae points8
48Total teleop46
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points4
62Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.52.7
71.068.3
Auto12.8
Teleop40.4
End2.4
red by 25.0
281
#9
30.62.2
44.242.0
Auto5.9
Teleop23.3
End1.4
Second
8137
#20
6.22.7
16.313.6
Auto1.8
Teleop1.6
End2.9
blue by 17.2
23.52.2
28.926.7
Auto3.0
Teleop17.7
End2.8
Third
9997
#21
-0.04.5
15.210.7
Auto-2.5
Teleop1.1
End1.1
blue by 7.4
7.32.2
10.88.6
Auto4.8
Teleop2.6
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed92%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed