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Red117
999910.6
297462.7
999513.4
Blue37
99965.0
947722.6
636625.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions898505010015011737

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+30Auto
+92Teleop
+92Endgame
+80Fouls
AutonomousRed +30
3Leave3
6Coral scored#0
30Coral points0
33Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +62
16Coral scored#3
58Coral points12
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#0
6Processor points6
16Net points0
22Algae points6
80Total teleop18
Reef
5L4#1
7L3#1
6L2#1
4L1 · trough#0
27Game pieces#4
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +80
0Foul points12
117Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.71.3
62.263.4
Auto18.2
Teleop42.5
End2.0
red by 37.5
6366
#11
25.24.3
32.227.8
Auto4.4
Teleop13.4
End7.5
Second
9995
#27
13.42.1
13.615.7
Auto0.9
Teleop9.7
End2.7
blue by 9.2
9477
#22
22.64.3
35.130.7
Auto3.6
Teleop18.7
End0.5
Third
9999
#25
10.62.1
7.79.8
Auto3.8
Teleop6.3
End0.2
red by 5.5
9996
#10
5.07.2
11.03.7
Auto1.3
Teleop2.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed