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Red26
999816.8
873620.2
34899.8
Blue70
110237.0
122512.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291000501502002670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+8
Fouls+44
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +11
3Coral scored#4
11Coral points14
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
0Processor points0
0Net points8
0Algae points8
11Total teleop22
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
0Foul points36
26Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8736
#18
20.21.5
19.317.8
Auto4.0
Teleop13.9
End2.4
blue by 16.8
1102
#14
37.03.2
44.841.6
Auto9.7
Teleop25.9
End1.4
Second
9998
#12
16.82.5
14.912.5
Auto6.0
Teleop7.6
End3.0
red by 4.4
1225
#17
12.53.2
20.417.2
Auto3.8
Teleop7.6
End1.1
Third
3489
#26
9.81.5
13.912.5
Auto2.6
Teleop7.5
End-0.3
red by 0.2
9.63.2
16.913.7
Auto2.9
Teleop5.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed75%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
1%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed