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Red65
34234.7
39760.6
886623.5
Blue103
272440.0
281537.6
28130.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7816105010020025065103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+16
Endgame+38
Fouls+38
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points13
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +16
8Coral scored#13
27Coral points47
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
45Total teleop61
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#4
13Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points0
65Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
342
#15
34.70.8
41.340.4
Auto4.7
Teleop27.0
End3.1
blue by 5.3
40.02.5
49.046.5
Auto7.0
Teleop25.1
End7.9
Second
23.50.8
26.725.9
Auto3.0
Teleop17.7
End2.8
blue by 14.1
37.62.5
43.440.9
Auto8.6
Teleop20.3
End8.8
Third
3976
#28
0.60.8
6.35.5
Auto1.0
Teleop-1.3
End0.9
blue by 30.0
281
#9
30.62.5
42.039.5
Auto5.9
Teleop23.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed40%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed78%Barge oddsEarned