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Red135
349050.2
453329.6
949669.1
Blue65
350622.9
445155.5
34331.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1761678010012014016020013565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
+68Teleop
+76Endgame
+70Fouls
AutonomousRed +5
9Leave3
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points13
21Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +63
22Coral scored#6
78Coral points23
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
100Total teleop37
Reef
6L4#3
7L3#3
6L2#2
5L1 · trough#1
29Game pieces#12
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +70
0Foul points6
135Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.11.3
74.473.1
Auto17.5
Teleop46.3
End5.3
red by 13.6
55.56.3
68.362.0
Auto12.8
Teleop40.4
End2.4
Second
50.21.3
47.946.6
Auto5.7
Teleop36.0
End8.6
red by 18.9
343
#13
31.36.3
50.544.3
Auto7.3
Teleop19.1
End4.9
Third
4533
#16
29.61.3
32.531.2
Auto5.2
Teleop18.4
End6.2
red by 6.7
3506
#23
22.96.3
34.328.0
Auto4.4
Teleop12.9
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsMissed93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
76%Coral oddsMissed56%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsMissed