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Red89
999910.6
272440.0
857536.5
Blue98
949669.1
34331.3
9997-0.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1051480502002503003508998

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+11
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points15
21Total auto24
TeleoperatedBlue +8
13Coral scored#13
48Coral points46
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
62Total teleop70
Reef
8L4#7
3L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
89Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.00.9
46.545.7
Auto7.0
Teleop25.1
End7.9
blue by 29.1
69.12.0
73.171.1
Auto17.5
Teleop46.3
End5.3
Second
36.50.9
45.744.8
Auto6.1
Teleop28.0
End2.4
red by 5.2
343
#13
31.32.0
44.342.3
Auto7.3
Teleop19.1
End4.9
Third
9999
#25
10.61.4
9.88.3
Auto3.8
Teleop6.3
End0.2
red by 10.6
9997
#21
-0.03.3
10.26.9
Auto-2.5
Teleop1.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed33%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsMissed