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Red104
636625.2
110237.0
349050.2
Blue26
39760.6
453329.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1363205010015020025010426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+58Teleop
+84Endgame
+78Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points10
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +55
12Coral scored#2
44Coral points7
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
6Processor points0
12Net points0
18Algae points0
62Total teleop7
Reef
4L4#1
4L3#1
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#4
BargeRed +26
26Cage & park0
26Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +78
0Foul points6
104Total score26

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.20.8
46.645.8
Auto5.7
Teleop36.0
End8.6
red by 20.6
4533
#16
29.61.7
31.229.5
Auto5.2
Teleop18.4
End6.2
Second
1102
#14
37.00.8
41.640.8
Auto9.7
Teleop25.9
End1.4
red by 29.6
7.31.7
8.66.9
Auto4.8
Teleop2.6
End-0.0
Third
6366
#11
25.20.8
27.827.0
Auto4.4
Teleop13.4
End7.5
red by 24.7
3976
#28
0.61.7
5.53.8
Auto1.0
Teleop-1.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
53%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed