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Red97
349050.2
350622.9
99965.0
Blue27
110237.0
9997-0.0
39760.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions933901502002503003509727

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+60Teleop
+70Endgame
+70Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave0
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +54
13Coral scored#4
46Coral points14
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#0
12Processor points6
16Net points0
28Algae points6
74Total teleop20
Reef
4L4#1
4L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#6
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +70
0Foul points0
97Total score27

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.21.0
45.846.8
Auto5.7
Teleop36.0
End8.6
red by 13.3
1102
#14
37.02.2
40.838.7
Auto9.7
Teleop25.9
End1.4
Second
3506
#23
22.91.0
24.725.7
Auto4.4
Teleop12.9
End5.7
red by 22.4
3976
#28
0.62.2
3.81.7
Auto1.0
Teleop-1.3
End0.9
Third
9996
#10
5.01.6
2.94.5
Auto1.3
Teleop2.1
End1.3
red by 5.0
9997
#21
-0.03.6
6.93.3
Auto-2.5
Teleop1.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned6%Barge oddsMissed