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Red57
886623.5
857536.5
34331.3
Blue32
28130.6
947722.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133910501502002503005732

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+17Teleop
+19Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +14
7Coral scored#5
26Coral points18
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
36Total teleop22
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#2
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
10Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
6Foul points0
57Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.54.0
44.840.8
Auto6.1
Teleop28.0
End2.4
red by 5.9
281
#9
30.63.3
39.035.7
Auto5.9
Teleop23.3
End1.4
Second
343
#13
31.34.0
42.338.2
Auto7.3
Teleop19.1
End4.9
red by 8.7
9477
#22
22.63.3
29.225.9
Auto3.6
Teleop18.7
End0.5
Third
23.54.0
24.420.3
Auto3.0
Teleop17.7
End2.8
red by 13.9
9.63.3
13.710.3
Auto2.9
Teleop5.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsMissed76%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned7%Barge oddsMissed