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Red46
99965.0
999910.6
Blue121
873620.2
349050.2
886623.5
10%Model gave it90%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2310505015020046121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+65
Endgame+77
Fouls+75
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave0
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points16
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +61
6Coral scored#20
20Coral points71
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
30Total teleop91
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#6
2L2#7
2L1 · trough#5
10Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +75
2Foul points0
46Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9999
#25
10.62.0
8.210.2
Auto3.8
Teleop6.3
End0.2
blue by 39.7
50.22.1
46.848.8
Auto5.7
Teleop36.0
End8.6
Second
7.31.2
7.28.5
Auto4.8
Teleop2.6
End-0.0
blue by 16.1
23.52.1
20.322.4
Auto3.0
Teleop17.7
End2.8
Third
9996
#10
5.02.0
4.56.5
Auto1.3
Teleop2.1
End1.3
blue by 15.1
8736
#18
20.22.1
17.919.9
Auto4.0
Teleop13.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed70%Barge oddsEarned