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Red121
297462.7
857536.5
110237.0
Blue30
34331.3
34234.7
81376.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1719505015020025030012130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+91Teleop
+89Endgame
+91Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
0Leave3
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points3
30Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +67
19Coral scored#5
67Coral points18
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
6Processor points0
12Net points0
18Algae points0
85Total teleop18
Reef
5L4#2
8L3#1
7L2#2
5L1 · trough#1
29Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +91
2Foul points0
121Total score30

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.71.9
62.460.5
Auto18.2
Teleop42.5
End2.0
red by 28.0
342
#15
34.74.2
37.533.3
Auto4.7
Teleop27.0
End3.1
Second
1102
#14
37.01.9
38.736.7
Auto9.7
Teleop25.9
End1.4
red by 5.6
343
#13
31.34.2
38.234.1
Auto7.3
Teleop19.1
End4.9
Third
36.51.9
40.838.9
Auto6.1
Teleop28.0
End2.4
red by 30.3
8137
#20
6.24.2
11.87.6
Auto1.8
Teleop1.6
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
51%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsMissed