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Red87
34331.3
636625.2
272440.0
Blue24
81376.2
34899.8
350622.9
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122370501001502002508724

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+25Teleop
+47Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
6Leave6
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
15Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +16
6Coral scored#2
22Coral points8
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
6Processor points0
0Net points4
6Algae points4
28Total teleop12
Reef
2L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
9Game pieces#3
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
18Foul points2
87Total score24

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.02.0
40.238.1
Auto7.0
Teleop25.1
End7.9
red by 17.1
3506
#23
22.91.4
24.322.9
Auto4.4
Teleop12.9
End5.7
Second
343
#13
31.32.0
34.132.0
Auto7.3
Teleop19.1
End4.9
red by 21.5
3489
#26
9.81.4
11.29.8
Auto2.6
Teleop7.5
End-0.3
Third
6366
#11
25.22.0
25.323.3
Auto4.4
Teleop13.4
End7.5
red by 19.0
8137
#20
6.21.4
7.66.2
Auto1.8
Teleop1.6
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed