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Red134
445150.8
34342.0
813712.8
Blue92
28131.5
348915.3
496731.7
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116795010015020013492

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+40Teleop
+42Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave9
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points14
27Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +36
21Coral scored#14
75Coral points49
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
103Total teleop67
Reef
9L4#4
7L3#6
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points0
134Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.80.7
49.350.0
Auto8.7
Teleop40.6
End1.5
red by 19.1
31.70.3
31.431.7
Auto5.6
Teleop24.7
End1.3
Second
343
#1
42.00.7
40.541.2
Auto10.7
Teleop26.3
End5.0
red by 10.5
281
#5
31.50.3
31.231.5
Auto5.1
Teleop24.9
End1.6
Third
8137
#15
12.80.7
11.311.9
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End2.6
blue by 2.5
3489
#35
15.30.3
15.015.2
Auto4.3
Teleop10.2
End0.7