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Red141
445150.8
34342.0
813712.8
Blue96
28131.5
348915.3
496731.7
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118805010015020014196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+45Teleop
+61Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
3Leave0
6Coral scored#5
28Coral points23
31Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +37
16Coral scored#10
56Coral points35
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
18Processor points6
16Net points12
34Algae points18
90Total teleop53
Reef
9L4#6
6L3#5
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
29Game pieces#19
BargeRed +16
20Cage & park4
20Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points16
141Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.80.8
50.050.8
Auto8.7
Teleop40.6
End1.5
red by 19.1
31.70.0
31.731.7
Auto5.6
Teleop24.7
End1.3
Second
343
#1
42.00.8
41.242.0
Auto10.7
Teleop26.3
End5.0
red by 10.5
281
#5
31.50.0
31.531.5
Auto5.1
Teleop24.9
End1.6
Third
8137
#15
12.80.8
11.912.8
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End2.6
blue by 2.5
3489
#35
15.30.0
15.215.3
Auto4.3
Teleop10.2
End0.7