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Red27
15392.7
34223.6
34342.0
Blue45
957117.0
128730.0
1036721.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85680501001502745

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+18
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +12
4Coral scored#5
16Coral points18
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
20Total teleop32
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
27Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#1
42.05.1
33.928.8
Auto10.7
Teleop26.3
End5.0
red by 12.0
30.01.8
26.324.5
Auto3.6
Teleop24.3
End2.1
Second
342
#10
23.65.1
22.717.5
Auto2.2
Teleop19.9
End1.6
red by 2.0
21.71.3
14.716.0
Auto5.2
Teleop13.9
End2.6
Third
1539
#33
2.75.1
16.711.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop1.2
End1.9
blue by 14.3
17.01.8
16.815.1
Auto4.3
Teleop11.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed