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Red37
110222.0
813712.8
93157.5
Blue25
616723.5
696113.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7359020401001201401603725

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+2Teleop
0Endgame0
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +8
3Coral scored#2
12Coral points8
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
20Total teleop12
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
6Game pieces#3
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
12Foul points0
37Total score25

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1102
#12
22.04.7
31.126.4
Auto2.7
Teleop18.6
End0.8
blue by 1.5
6167
#19
23.53.7
18.314.6
Auto3.8
Teleop14.3
End5.4
Second
8137
#15
12.84.7
16.812.1
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End2.6
blue by 0.2
6961
#18
13.03.7
16.412.7
Auto5.5
Teleop5.4
End2.1
Third
9315
#26
7.54.7
14.49.7
Auto3.1
Teleop3.8
End0.6
blue by 2.1
9.50.4
14.414.1
Auto4.1
Teleop3.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed