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Qual 112025 FSC District Hartsville Event
Red47
616723.5
15392.7
70858.9
Blue97
12939.0
445150.8
34223.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4377020601001201404797

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+60
Endgame+50
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +57
6Coral scored#13
20Coral points47
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#7
6Processor points12
4Net points28
10Algae points40
30Total teleop87
Reef
3L4#5
1L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points0
47Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6167
#19
23.50.8
14.6→13.8
Auto3.8
Teleop14.3
End5.4
blue by 27.2
4451
#2
50.82.1
34.3→36.4
Auto8.7
Teleop40.6
End1.5
Second
7085
#24
8.90.8
13.7→12.9
Auto3.0
Teleop3.0
End2.9
blue by 14.7
342
#10
23.62.1
17.5→19.7
Auto2.2
Teleop19.9
End1.6
Third
1539
#33
2.70.8
11.6→10.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop1.2
End1.9
blue by 6.4
1293
#27
9.02.1
12.2→14.3
Auto2.1
Teleop5.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed