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Red65
857537.1
957117.0
39766.8
Blue58
105119.5
453320.1
696113.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5351102030406070806558

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+9Teleop
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +19
11Coral scored#8
39Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
57Total teleop38
Reef
4L4#2
2L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
65Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.11.2
24.025.2
Auto5.6
Teleop28.4
End3.0
red by 17.0
4533
#25
20.10.4
18.218.6
Auto3.6
Teleop13.4
End3.1
Second
17.01.2
16.117.3
Auto4.3
Teleop11.3
End1.4
blue by 2.5
1051
#16
19.50.4
15.315.7
Auto5.5
Teleop11.2
End2.7
Third
3976
#32
6.81.2
6.37.5
Auto1.6
Teleop3.0
End2.2
blue by 6.2
6961
#18
13.00.4
12.012.4
Auto5.5
Teleop5.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed