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Red76
496731.7
1059912.3
34223.6
Blue16
15392.7
281520.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions704102060801001207616

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+38Teleop
+36Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave3
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +32
8Coral scored#2
29Coral points7
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
39Total teleop7
Reef
3L4#1
3L3#0
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
10Game pieces#2
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +60
24Foul points0
76Total score16

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.71.1
24.923.8
Auto5.6
Teleop24.7
End1.3
red by 11.0
2815
#17
20.72.7
16.814.1
Auto6.2
Teleop13.1
End1.5
Second
342
#10
23.61.1
19.718.6
Auto2.2
Teleop19.9
End1.6
red by 18.4
5.22.7
10.57.8
Auto2.9
Teleop1.5
End0.8
Third
12.31.1
14.013.0
Auto2.9
Teleop7.8
End1.5
red by 9.6
1539
#33
2.72.7
10.88.0
Auto-0.5
Teleop1.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed