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Red32
408311.1
349024.9
Blue37
513016.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47480204060803237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+3Teleop
Endgame+1
Fouls+5
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +9
5Coral scored#3
19Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
6Processor points0
0Net points4
6Algae points4
25Total teleop16
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
2Foul points6
32Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3490
#13
24.91.6
19.918.2
Auto4.2
Teleop14.3
End6.5
red by 8.0
5130
#21
16.91.5
14.513.0
Auto4.3
Teleop10.9
End1.8
Second
4083
#28
11.11.6
10.89.2
Auto2.3
Teleop8.5
End0.3
red by 1.5
9.51.5
14.913.4
Auto4.1
Teleop3.2
End2.2
Third
8.21.6
11.19.5
Auto1.6
Teleop5.2
End1.4
red by 0.1
8.21.5
12.210.7
Auto2.5
Teleop4.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed