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Red44
348915.3
1036721.7
13198.3
Blue70
28131.5
34342.0
813712.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions457102060801001201404470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+26
Endgame+26
Fouls+26
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
15Coral points3
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +32
6Coral scored#13
21Coral points47
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
25Total teleop57
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#3
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points0
44Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.2
15.315.1
Auto5.2
Teleop13.9
End2.6
blue by 20.4
343
#1
42.00.7
28.028.7
Auto10.7
Teleop26.3
End5.0
Second
3489
#35
15.30.2
19.018.8
Auto4.3
Teleop10.2
End0.7
blue by 16.3
281
#5
31.50.7
22.022.7
Auto5.1
Teleop24.9
End1.6
Third
1319
#29
8.30.2
8.78.6
Auto3.5
Teleop5.1
End-0.3
blue by 4.5
8137
#15
12.80.7
10.811.5
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed