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Red61
39766.8
34342.0
513016.9
Blue39
13198.3
486416.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5841020801001201406139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
+12Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousBlue +9
6Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points15
6Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +21
8Coral scored#4
27Coral points14
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
41Total teleop20
Reef
2L4#2
3L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#8
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points0
61Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#1
42.01.0
28.729.7
Auto10.7
Teleop26.3
End5.0
red by 25.6
16.50.2
16.316.1
Auto5.3
Teleop11.2
End-0.1
Second
5130
#21
16.91.0
13.014.0
Auto4.3
Teleop10.9
End1.8
red by 7.4
9.50.2
13.413.2
Auto4.1
Teleop3.2
End2.2
Third
3976
#32
6.81.0
7.58.5
Auto1.6
Teleop3.0
End2.2
blue by 1.5
1319
#29
8.30.2
8.68.3
Auto3.5
Teleop5.1
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed