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Red32
110222.0
15392.7
Blue78
1036721.7
857537.1
105119.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47670204060801003278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+38
Endgame+42
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
3Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +28
5Coral scored#9
17Coral points33
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
0Processor points12
8Net points8
8Algae points20
25Total teleop53
Reef
1L4#4
2L3#2
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
2Foul points6
32Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1102
#12
22.01.4
24.723.3
Auto2.7
Teleop18.6
End0.8
blue by 15.0
37.11.8
25.227.0
Auto5.6
Teleop28.4
End3.0
Second
8.21.4
9.58.1
Auto1.6
Teleop5.2
End1.4
blue by 13.4
21.71.8
15.116.9
Auto5.2
Teleop13.9
End2.6
Third
1539
#33
2.71.4
8.06.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop1.2
End1.9
blue by 16.8
1051
#16
19.51.8
15.717.5
Auto5.5
Teleop11.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed