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Red77
1059912.3
34342.0
857537.1
Blue18
93157.5
12939.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions812802040601001207718

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+65Teleop
+65Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave6
1Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
10Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +61
11Coral scored#0
41Coral points0
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
12Processor points0
8Net points0
20Algae points0
61Total teleop0
Reef
5L4#0
3L3#0
3L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
16Game pieces#0
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +59
0Foul points6
77Total score18

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#1
42.01.2
29.730.9
Auto10.7
Teleop26.3
End5.0
red by 33.0
1293
#27
9.01.8
8.56.8
Auto2.1
Teleop5.0
End1.9
Second
37.11.2
27.028.2
Auto5.6
Teleop28.4
End3.0
red by 28.9
8.21.8
9.57.7
Auto2.5
Teleop4.1
End1.7
Third
12.31.2
9.710.9
Auto2.9
Teleop7.8
End1.5
red by 4.8
9315
#26
7.51.8
10.08.2
Auto3.1
Teleop3.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed19%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed