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Red46
616723.5
Blue31
39766.8
349024.9
15392.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373601020305060704631

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+15Teleop
+15Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +12
5Coral scored#3
18Coral points10
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
26Total teleop14
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#5
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points0
46Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6167
#19
23.50.7
14.715.4
Auto3.8
Teleop14.3
End5.4
blue by 1.3
3490
#13
24.90.9
15.714.8
Auto4.2
Teleop14.3
End6.5
Second
8.20.7
8.18.8
Auto1.6
Teleop5.2
End1.4
red by 1.4
3976
#32
6.80.9
8.57.6
Auto1.6
Teleop3.0
End2.2
Third
7.10.7
7.88.5
Auto3.0
Teleop2.8
End1.4
red by 4.5
1539
#33
2.70.9
6.75.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop1.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed10%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsEarned