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Red56
28131.5
453320.1
Blue37
70858.9
34223.6
348915.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66613040507080905637

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+15Teleop
+13Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +12
5Coral scored#3
17Coral points9
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
25Total teleop13
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
9Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
18Foul points12
56Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
#5
31.51.9
23.121.2
Auto5.1
Teleop24.9
End1.6
red by 7.9
342
#10
23.63.1
17.914.8
Auto2.2
Teleop19.9
End1.6
Second
4533
#25
20.11.9
19.017.1
Auto3.6
Teleop13.4
End3.1
red by 4.8
3489
#35
15.33.1
19.316.2
Auto4.3
Teleop10.2
End0.7
Third
9.51.9
13.211.3
Auto4.1
Teleop3.2
End2.2
red by 0.6
7085
#24
8.93.1
12.69.5
Auto3.0
Teleop3.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed