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Red82
813712.8
281520.7
445150.8
Blue44
696113.0
175813.9
110222.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7155204060801008244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+40Teleop
+38Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
0Leave6
4Coral scored#0
21Coral points0
21Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +25
12Coral scored#8
43Coral points30
2Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
12Processor points0
4Net points4
16Algae points4
59Total teleop34
Reef
6L4#2
6L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points0
82Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.82.3
37.439.8
Auto8.7
Teleop40.6
End1.5
red by 28.7
1102
#12
22.00.8
23.322.6
Auto2.7
Teleop18.6
End0.8
Second
2815
#17
20.72.3
14.717.0
Auto6.2
Teleop13.1
End1.5
red by 6.8
1758
#11
13.90.8
14.113.3
Auto1.8
Teleop10.6
End1.5
Third
8137
#15
12.82.3
9.011.3
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End2.6
blue by 0.2
6961
#18
13.00.8
13.612.8
Auto5.5
Teleop5.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed