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Red36
1036721.7
408311.1
636613.3
Blue64
957117.0
486416.5
496731.7
15%Model gave it85%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions446702060801003664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+22
Endgame+20
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
12Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +19
3Coral scored#8
12Coral points29
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
6Processor points0
0Net points8
6Algae points8
18Total teleop37
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points8
36Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.7
16.916.2
Auto5.2
Teleop13.9
End2.6
blue by 10.0
31.70.3
25.725.4
Auto5.6
Teleop24.7
End1.3
Second
6366
#22
13.30.7
17.016.3
Auto4.0
Teleop7.1
End2.2
blue by 3.7
17.00.3
17.216.8
Auto4.3
Teleop11.3
End1.4
Third
4083
#28
11.10.7
8.07.3
Auto2.3
Teleop8.5
End0.3
blue by 5.4
16.50.3
16.115.8
Auto5.3
Teleop11.2
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed